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Track the Aurora in Real-Time

Track the Aurora in Real-Time

Monitor geomagnetic activity, solar wind conditions, and aurora forecasts powered by NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center.

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Measured vs Forecasted Kp

Measured Kp (Current)

(Observed)

This card shows the current measured (observed) Kp index and the forecasted Kp values for the next 3, 6, 9, and 12 hours. Forecasted values are from NOAA's 3-day geomagnetic forecast.

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Current Kp Index

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Current HPI

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30 Min Forecast

NOAA Northern Hemisphere Aurora Forecast - 30 Minute Forecast

OVATION Aurora Model - Shows probability and energy deposition of auroras.

Color intensity indicates aurora strength:

  • Dark green = weak activity
  • Bright green/yellow = moderate activity
  • Orange/red = strong activity
Frames refresh every ~5 minutes direct from NOAA.
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Animation built with NOAA's OVATION auroral forecast archive. Use the speed control to adjust playback rate. Frames automatically advance using an HTML5 canvas renderer.

NOAA Southern Hemisphere Aurora Forecast - 30 Minute Forecast

OVATION Aurora Model - Shows probability and energy deposition of auroras.

Color intensity indicates aurora strength:

  • Dark green = weak activity
  • Bright green/yellow = moderate activity
  • Orange/red = strong activity
Live archive direct from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.
Oldest Newest

These HTML5 animations replay the NOAA southern hemisphere OVATION frames so you can compare polar views without leaving the dashboard.


| Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

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Aurora Probability

Aurora Intensity

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Solar Wind

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Solar Flux (F10.7)

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DST Index

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Max Kp (24h)

Best Viewing Info

© Northern Lights Alaska (NLAK). All rights reserved.

Data provided by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Forecast Legend

Learn how to interpret the aurora forecast maps and understand what the colors and patterns mean for your viewing location.

Color Intensity Chart

Dark Green

Weak Activity

Bright Green/Yellow

Moderate Activity

Orange/Red

Strong Activity

Deep Red/Purple

Very Strong Activity

The color intensity on the forecast maps indicates the strength and probability of aurora activity. Darker colors represent weaker activity, while brighter and more intense colors (orange, red, purple) represent stronger aurora displays.

Understanding the OVATION Aurora Model

  • Probability: The maps show the probability of aurora visibility at different locations
  • Energy Deposition: Color intensity also represents the amount of energy being deposited into the atmosphere by auroral particles
  • 30-Minute Updates: Forecast maps are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data from NOAA
  • Hemispheres: Both Northern and Southern Hemisphere forecasts are available
  • HPI Value: The Hemispheric Power Index (HPI) shown represents total energy in Gigawatts (GW) deposited into the auroral zones

Alaska-Specific Viewing Tips

Fairbanks & Interior: Typically visible with Kp 0-2. Look for green areas covering Alaska on the map.

Anchorage & South Central: Usually need Kp 5+ for reliable viewing. Orange/red areas over Alaska indicate good conditions.

Southeast Alaska: Requires Kp 6+ for visibility. Strong activity (red/purple) needed for these lower latitude locations.

North Slope: Can see aurora even at very low Kp values. Any green on the map usually means visible aurora.

Best viewing times: 10 PM - 2 AM Alaska Time, especially during winter months

Prime viewing hours: 10 PM - 2 AM Alaska Time, especially during winter months

NOAA Northern Hemisphere Aurora Forecast - 30 Minute Forecast

OVATION Aurora Model - Shows probability and energy deposition of auroras.

Color intensity indicates aurora strength:

  • Dark green = weak activity
  • Bright green/yellow = moderate activity
  • Orange/red = strong activity

View Color Intensity Chart →

Frames refresh every ~5 minutes direct from NOAA.
Oldest Newest

Animation built with NOAA's OVATION auroral forecast archive. Use the speed control to adjust playback rate. Frames automatically advance using an HTML5 canvas renderer.

NOAA Southern Hemisphere Aurora Forecast - 30 Minute Forecast

OVATION Aurora Model - Shows probability and energy deposition of auroras.

Color intensity indicates aurora strength:

  • Dark green = weak activity
  • Bright green/yellow = moderate activity
  • Orange/red = strong activity

View Color Intensity Chart →

Live archive direct from NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.
Oldest Newest

These HTML5 animations replay the NOAA southern hemisphere OVATION frames so you can compare polar views without leaving the dashboard.

NOAA Tonight's Aurora Forecast - Static Viewline Forecast

Tonight's Static Viewline Forecast - Shows predicted aurora viewing conditions for tonight

This forecast map displays the expected aurora visibility and intensity for the current night, helping you plan your viewing session.

Kp Index Scale

Kp 8-9: Very Strong (Excellent viewing)
Kp 7: Strong (Excellent viewing)
Kp 5-6: Moderate (Good viewing)
Kp 3-4: Weak (Possible viewing)
Kp 0-2: Very Weak (Unlikely)
NOAA Tomorrow Night's Aurora Forecast - Static Viewline Forecast

Tomorrow Night's Static Viewline Forecast - Shows predicted aurora viewing conditions for tomorrow night

Plan ahead with this forecast map displaying expected aurora visibility and intensity for tomorrow night, helping you prepare for your next viewing opportunity.

Kp Index Scale

Kp 8-9: Very Strong (Excellent viewing)
Kp 7: Strong (Excellent viewing)
Kp 5-6: Moderate (Good viewing)
Kp 3-4: Weak (Possible viewing)
Kp 0-2: Very Weak (Unlikely)

Active Space Weather Alerts

No Active Alerts

There are currently no active space weather alerts.

Current Solar Conditions

Radio Blackouts

Solar Radiation

Geomagnetic Storms

3-Hour Kp Forecast Breakdown

Like Aurora Alerts app's long-range forecast tab - Kp values broken down in 3-hour increments. This helps you plan when conditions will be best for viewing.

Time Zone: Times shown in Alaska Time (AKST/AKDT) with UTC equivalent. Dates and times are displayed for each forecast period.

Note: Forecasts are estimates. Actual Kp may vary. Always check real-time data at SpaceWeatherLive.com before heading out.

These maps show the geographic range where aurora is visible at different Kp index levels. Higher Kp values mean aurora is visible further south and with greater intensity.

Kp = 3 Quiet Aurora
NOAA Aurora Visibility Map - Kp Index 3 (Quiet)

Kp Value: Kp = 3 (Range 0 to 9)

NOAA G-Scale: G0 (Range 0 to 5)

Aurora is visible in a relatively narrow ring around the North Pole, covering northern Canada, Alaska, Greenland, Iceland, and parts of northern Scandinavia and Russia.

Kp = 5 Moderate Aurora
NOAA Aurora Visibility Map - Kp Index 5 (Moderate)

Kp Value: Kp = 5 (Range 0 to 9)

NOAA G-Scale: G1 (Range 0 to 5)

The aurora ring is wider and more intense, reaching farther south into the northernmost contiguous United States.

Kp = 7 Active Aurora
NOAA Aurora Visibility Map - Kp Index 7 (Active)

Kp Value: Kp = 7 (Range 0 to 9)

NOAA G-Scale: G3 (Range 0 to 5)

The aurora ring is significantly wider and predominantly red, extending deep into the continental United States.

Kp = 9 Very Active Aurora
NOAA Aurora Visibility Map - Kp Index 9 (Very Active)

Kp Value: Kp = 9 (Range 0 to 9)

NOAA G-Scale: G5 (Range 0 to 5)

The aurora's visibility extends to very low latitudes, potentially reaching states as far south as Oregon, Idaho, Nebraska, and New York.

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Monitor the power and intensity of aurora australis and borealis activity in real-time with our HPI (Hemispheric Power Index) chart for accurate aurora forecasting.

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Data source: NOAA Hemispheric Power Index

Understanding Aurora Power

The Hemispheric Power Index (HPI) measures the total energy input into the Earth's atmosphere in gigawatts (GW). Higher values indicate stronger aurora activity and better visibility. Typically, values above 40 GW can produce visible aurora in high latitude regions.

Power Thresholds

10-20 GW: Weak
20-40 GW: Moderate
40-80 GW: Strong
80+ GW: Very Strong

Last updated:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

HPI History Chart

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HPI (Hemispheric Power)

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Data source: NOAA Hemispheric Power Index

Kp Index Forecasts & Historical Data

Kp < 5 (Normal)
Kp = 5 (G1)
Kp = 6 (G2)
Kp = 7 (G3)
Kp = 8-9 (G4-G5)

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Data source: NOAA 3-Day Geomagnetic Forecast

Forecast Period:

Note:

Last updated:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center | NOAA Dashboard | JSON Data

Kp < 5 (Normal)
Kp = 5 (G1)
Kp = 6 (G2)
Kp = 7 (G3)
Kp = 8-9 (G4-G5)

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Data source: NOAA 3-Day Forecast & 27-Day Outlook

Forecast Period:

Note: Days 4-7 use longer-range outlook data which is less accurate than the 3-day forecast.

Last updated:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center | NOAA Dashboard | JSON Data

Kp < 5 (Normal)
Kp = 5 (G1)
Kp = 6 (G2)
Kp = 7 (G3)
Kp = 8-9 (G4-G5)

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Data source: NOAA 27-Day Space Weather Outlook

The data: Highlighted in blue are 3-Day Forecast data overlaying the 27-Day Forecast. 3-Day Forecast data are updated daily and provides a more accurate forecast.

Last updated:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center | NOAA Dashboard | JSON Data

Historical Kp Data (180 Days)

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Data source: NOAA Daily Geomagnetic Data

The data: We display the 180 most recent days of observed NOAA Daily Geomagnetic Data.

Last updated:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center | NOAA Dashboard | JSON Data

All-Sky Camera Webcams

Live all-sky camera feeds from the University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute. These cameras provide real-time views of the night sky to help you see current aurora activity.

Poker Flat Research Range

Located near Fairbanks, Alaska. This camera provides views of aurora activity in the Interior region.

Poker Flat All-Sky Camera Feed

Auto-refreshes every 30 seconds

Open in new window →

Last 30 Minutes Video
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Tonight Video
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Toolik Lake Field Station

Located in the Arctic tundra, north of the Brooks Range. This camera provides views of aurora activity in the far north.

Toolik Lake All-Sky Camera Feed

Auto-refreshes every 30 seconds

Open in new window →

Last 30 Minutes Video
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Tonight Video
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Gakona

Located in the Interior region of Alaska. This camera provides additional coverage of aurora activity.

Gakona All-Sky Camera Feed

Auto-refreshes every 30 seconds

Open in new window →

Last 30 Minutes Video
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Tonight Video
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Monitor real-time solar wind speed and magnetic field data that directly influence aurora australis and borealis activity for accurate geomagnetic storm forecasting.

Magnetic Field (Bz)

Current:

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Data source: NOAA Solar Wind

Bz Component: A negative Bz (below 0) is favorable for aurora activity. Values below -10 nT typically trigger strong aurora displays.

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Solar Wind Speed

Now:

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Data source: NOAA Solar Wind

Solar Wind Speed: Faster solar wind (above 500 km/s) increases the chance of aurora activity. Current estimated arrival time:

Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

How Solar Activity Creates Aurora

Interplanetary Magnetic Field (Bz)

The Bz component represents the direction of the Sun's magnetic field as it reaches Earth. When Bz turns southward (negative values), it creates an opening in Earth's protective magnetic shield, enabling charged particles from the solar wind to penetrate our atmosphere and generate aurora displays.

Solar Wind Stream

The Sun continuously emits a flow of energized particles known as solar wind. This stream carries the Sun's magnetic field and varies in speed, density, and direction. When these particles interact with Earth's magnetosphere, they can trigger geomagnetic activity that produces visible aurora, with higher wind speeds often leading to more intense displays.

Measurement Timing

Space weather satellites monitor solar wind conditions at the L1 Lagrange point, approximately 1.5 million kilometers sunward from Earth. Since these particles travel at varying speeds, there's a time delay between when we detect changes in the solar wind and when those particles actually reach and affect Earth's magnetic environment.

Top Viewing Locations

⚠️ Cloud Cover is Critical!

100% cloud cover means no lights will be seen, regardless of Kp index. Always check cloud conditions before heading out. In Fairbanks, you can see aurora even at Kp 0-1 if skies are clear!

Top 3 Current Best Viewing Locations

Auto-updates

Additional Resources:

  • Remember: Apps are often delayed. For real-time data, check SpaceWeatherLive.com directly.
  • Search "[Location] Clear Dark Sky" on Google for detailed cloud cover projections.
  • In Fairbanks (64.8°N), aurora is visible more frequently - even at Kp 0-1 with clear skies!
  • South Central Alaska (Anchorage, Mat-Su) typically needs Kp 5+ for reliable viewing.

5-Day Weather Forecast

5-day weather forecast for top viewing locations. Plan ahead for the best aurora viewing conditions.

Time Zone: All dates and times shown in Alaska Time (AKST/AKDT).

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Data source: Weather forecast data from Open-Meteo. Forecasts are estimates and may vary. Always check current conditions before heading out.

Aurora Colors, Heights & Scientific Names

600 km 500 km 400 km 300 km 200 km 100 km 80 km Ground Level
Red
300-600 km
Green
100-300 km
Blue/Purple
80-200 km

Northern Hemisphere

Aurora Borealis

Southern Hemisphere

Aurora Australis

Understanding Aurora Colors by Altitude

The chart above shows the typical altitude ranges where different aurora colors appear. Red aurora occurs at the highest altitudes (300-600 km) where atomic oxygen is sparse, requiring intense solar activity. Green aurora is most common (100-300 km) where atomic oxygen concentration is higher. Blue/Purple aurora appears at lower altitudes (80-200 km) where molecular nitrogen dominates. The colors overlap because aurora can occur across multiple altitude ranges simultaneously during active periods.

Key Insight: The altitude determines which atmospheric molecules are excited. At high altitudes (300-600 km), sparse atomic oxygen emits red light (630.0 nm). At mid-altitudes (100-300 km), more abundant atomic oxygen emits green light (557.7 nm). At lower altitudes (80-200 km), molecular nitrogen emits blue/purple light (427.8 nm). During intense geomagnetic storms, all three can appear simultaneously, creating spectacular multi-colored displays.

What Makes Aurora Happen?

Even though auroras are best seen at night, they are actually caused by the Sun. The Sun sends us more than heat and light; it sends lots of other energy and small particles our way. The protective magnetic field around Earth shields us from most of the energy and particles, and we don't even notice them.

Solar Storms: The Sun doesn't send the same amount of energy all the time. There is a constant streaming solar wind and there are also solar storms. During one kind of solar storm called a coronal mass ejection, the Sun burps out a huge bubble of electrified gas that can travel through space at high speeds.

Magnetic Field Lines: When a solar storm comes toward us, some of the energy and small particles can travel down the magnetic field lines at the north and south poles into Earth's atmosphere. There, the particles interact with gases in our atmosphere resulting in beautiful displays of light in the sky. Oxygen gives off green and red light. Nitrogen glows blue and purple.

Aurora on Other Planets: Auroras are not just something that happen on Earth. If a planet has an atmosphere and magnetic field, they probably have auroras. We've seen amazing auroras on Jupiter and Saturn!

Source: NASA Space Place - What Is an Aurora?

Red Aurora

Altitude: 300-600 km (186-373 miles)

Scientific Name: Type A Aurora (Atomic Oxygen - 630.0 nm)

Rare, high-altitude aurora. Most visible during intense geomagnetic storms. Often appears as a diffuse red glow above green aurora.

Green Aurora

Altitude: 100-300 km (62-186 miles)

Scientific Name: Type B Aurora (Atomic Oxygen - 557.7 nm)

Most common aurora color. Bright green curtains and bands. This is what most people see and photograph in Alaska.

Blue/Purple Aurora

Altitude: 80-200 km (50-124 miles)

Scientific Name: Type C Aurora (Molecular Nitrogen - 427.8 nm)

Lower altitude aurora. Often appears at the bottom of green aurora curtains. More visible to cameras than the naked eye.

Aurora Borealis (Northern Lights)
  • Common Name: Northern Lights
  • Scientific Name: Aurora Borealis (from "Aurora" - Roman goddess of dawn, "Borealis" - Greek for north wind)
  • Best Viewing: Alaska, Canada, Scandinavia, Iceland, Northern Russia
  • Auroral Oval: Typically centered around 65-70°N magnetic latitude
Aurora Australis (Southern Lights)
  • Common Name: Southern Lights
  • Scientific Name: Aurora Australis (from "Aurora" - Roman goddess of dawn, "Australis" - Latin for southern)
  • Best Viewing: Antarctica, Southern Australia, New Zealand, Southern Argentina/Chile
  • Auroral Oval: Typically centered around 65-70°S magnetic latitude (mirror of northern oval)

How Aurora Works (Northern & Southern Hemispheres)

How Aurora Works (Northern & Southern Hemispheres)

1. Solar Wind & Particles

The Sun continuously emits charged particles (electrons and protons) in the solar wind. During solar storms, these particles are accelerated toward Earth.

2. Earth's Magnetic Field

Earth's magnetic field (magnetosphere) funnels these particles toward the magnetic poles. The field lines converge at both the North and South magnetic poles, creating the auroral ovals.

3. Atmospheric Collisions

Charged particles collide with atoms and molecules in Earth's upper atmosphere (thermosphere and ionosphere). These collisions occur at altitudes between 80-600 km (50-373 miles).

4. Light Emission

When particles collide with oxygen atoms, they excite electrons. As electrons return to their ground state, they emit photons of light. Different elements and altitudes produce different colors:

  • Oxygen at 200-300 km: Green light (557.7 nm) - most common
  • Oxygen at 300-600 km: Red light (630.0 nm) - high altitude
  • Nitrogen at 80-200 km: Blue/purple light (427.8 nm) - lower altitude

Key Point: Northern & Southern Hemispheres

The same solar wind particles create aurora in BOTH hemispheres simultaneously. When you see Aurora Borealis in Alaska, Aurora Australis is occurring at the same time in Antarctica. They are mirror images of each other, connected by Earth's magnetic field lines.

Scientific Classification & Research Terms

Scientific Classification & Research Terms

Auroral Oval

Ring-shaped region around each magnetic pole where aurora is most likely to occur. Expands during geomagnetic storms.

Auroral Substorm

Sudden brightening and movement of aurora. Caused by magnetic reconnection in the magnetotail.

Corona (Auroral)

Rare aurora formation where rays appear to converge directly overhead, creating a crown-like effect.

Proton Aurora

Aurora caused by protons rather than electrons. Typically appears as diffuse red or pink glow, often invisible to naked eye.

Discrete Aurora

Well-defined aurora with clear structures (curtains, rays, arcs). Most common type visible in Alaska.

Diffuse Aurora

Widespread, uniform aurora without distinct structures. Often appears as a faint glow covering large areas of sky.

Frequently Asked Questions

Viewing the Aurora

The northern lights are always happening somewhere on our planet, but whether you can see them depends on two key factors: darkness and clear weather. During periods of low solar activity, aurora may only be visible at extreme northern latitudes and might appear quite dim. The main challenges for aurora watchers are daylight hours and cloudy conditions. In Fairbanks, Alaska, locals enjoy northern lights sightings on clear evenings for most of the year, with the best opportunities during the extended darkness of winter.

Prime northern lights viewing happens within the auroral zone, generally located between 60-70 degrees north latitude. Fairbanks, Alaska sits at 64.8°N, positioned right beneath the auroral oval - this makes it one of the world's top destinations for aurora watching. Other fantastic locations include Canada's northern territories, Greenland, Iceland, and the Scandinavian countries. Around Fairbanks specifically, spots such as Murphy Dome, Cleary Summit, and Chena Hot Springs provide excellent dark-sky viewing away from urban light pollution.

Optimal viewing typically happens during the darkest part of the night, usually from 10 PM to 2 AM. That said, northern lights can show up any time the sky is dark enough. In Alaska's winter season, darkness lasts much longer - beginning around 5 PM and continuing until roughly 8 AM the next morning, giving you many hours of potential viewing. While midnight tends to see peak activity, this changes based on current space weather. When geomagnetic storms are active, aurora can dance across the sky all night long.

Alaska's winter season, spanning September to March, offers ideal conditions because of the extended nighttime hours. The spring and fall equinoxes (March and September) frequently bring heightened aurora activity. While you can spot northern lights any time of year in Alaska - you just need sufficient darkness - the far north provides enough dark summer nights for viewing too. Still, the perfect combination of lengthy winter darkness and enhanced solar activity makes September through March the peak season for aurora enthusiasts.

Northern lights activity follows an 11-year pattern called the solar cycle. When the sun reaches solar maximum - the cycle's peak - it generates increased numbers of sunspots, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections, resulting in more frequent and powerful aurora shows. During solar minimum, aurora becomes less common but never completely stops. We're currently experiencing Solar Cycle 25, which is reaching its maximum around 2024-2025, creating exceptional viewing opportunities right now.

Fairbanks locals are no strangers to incredible northern lights shows and frequently stay up late capturing photos or simply enjoying the dynamic displays. Some people watch from their own backyards, but the most impressive views come from locations well away from urban light pollution. If you're visiting, choose an elevated spot with minimal light interference and an unobstructed view of the horizon - aurora can appear anywhere in the sky. In peak solar activity years, auroral substorms often begin south of Fairbanks. During quieter solar periods, they typically start to the north and peak around midnight.

Top viewing locations in the Fairbanks area:

  • Chena Lakes Recreation Area
  • Tanana Lakes Recreation Area, located just south of Fairbanks
  • Cleary Summit
  • Ester, Wickersham and Murphy Domes
  • Haystack Mountain along the Elliot Highway
  • Scenic pullouts on the Elliot, Steese and Parks Highways, plus Chena Hot Springs Road
  • Nordale Road turnouts
  • Ballaine Road pullout near the Goldstream Creek bridge

For detailed information about lodging, guided tours, and other resources, check out www.explorefairbanks.com.

Safety reminder: Alaska's harsh winter conditions can quickly turn minor issues into serious emergencies in remote locations. When heading out for aurora viewing in cold weather, ensure you have appropriate cold-weather gear, vehicle emergency supplies, and safety equipment.

Absolutely! Northern lights are visible from Anchorage and South Central Alaska, though you'll need more intense space weather activity compared to more northern locations. Anchorage sits at 61.2°N and generally requires Kp levels of 5 or above for consistent aurora sightings, while Fairbanks can show aurora even at Kp 0-1 when skies are clear.

Prime viewing spots near Anchorage:

  • Hatcher Pass - Elevated location with excellent dark skies, approximately 1.5 hours drive north
  • Eklutna Lake - Beautiful setting roughly 40 minutes northeast of the city
  • Glen Alps/Flattop Mountain - Close to Anchorage, though be aware of urban light glow
  • Turnagain Arm - Stunning coastal scenery with mountain views, about 30 minutes south
  • Talkeetna - Two hours north, provides opportunities to see Denali alongside aurora

Successfully spotting aurora from Anchorage means timing your trip for active space weather (Kp 5+) and selecting spots with the least light interference. Use our Kp forecast charts and cloud coverage information to schedule your viewing. When powerful geomagnetic storms hit (Kp 6+), northern lights can sometimes be spotted even from within Anchorage city limits on clear evenings.

Northern lights appear in numerous shapes and patterns, ranging from gentle arcs and bands to energetic, moving curtains. Popular forms you might see include:

  • Arcs - Gentle, curved lines that span the horizon
  • Bands - Undulating, ribbon-shaped formations
  • Curtains - Vertical, drape-like structures that seem to move and sway
  • Rays - Vertical columns of light
  • Corona - When aurora appears directly above you, forming a crown or starburst pattern
  • Pulsating aurora - Quick, rhythmic flashing or pulsing patterns

During active periods, the shape and brightness can shift dramatically in just minutes. It's common to see several different forms happening at the same time during strong displays.

People have reported hearing sounds during aurora displays for hundreds of years, but scientists still debate whether this is real. Some watchers claim to hear crackling, hissing, or rustling noises during particularly intense displays. If these sounds are genuine, they're likely caused by electrical discharges happening close to the ground, possibly connected to the same mechanisms that create the aurora itself. Most observers don't hear anything, and the phenomenon isn't fully explained. Any sounds that do occur are usually extremely quiet and could be psychological responses or caused by other nearby environmental factors.

Yes, forecasting is possible to a certain degree. Space weather scientists can predict aurora activity using specialized forecast models. Our 3-day forecast gives dependable predictions of geomagnetic activity (measured by the Kp index) broken down into 3-hour time blocks. The 27-day forecast provides extended outlooks based on the sun's rotation pattern, though it's less accurate than shorter-term forecasts. Watching real-time solar wind data (including speed, particle density, and magnetic field direction) helps anticipate immediate aurora activity. Keep in mind that local cloud conditions matter just as much - even perfect space weather won't help if clouds are blocking your view. Our dashboard provides current conditions and forecast tools to help you plan.

Science of the Aurora

The northern lights (also called aurora borealis) and southern lights (aurora australis) are natural light shows created when electrically charged particles streaming from the sun strike atoms and molecules high in Earth's atmosphere. These impacts energize the atmospheric particles, which then release that energy as visible light. Think of it like a neon sign - electrical energy excites gas particles, making them glow.

The auroral oval is a donut-shaped area encircling Earth's magnetic poles where northern lights appear most often. This zone isn't stationary - it grows and shrinks depending on current space weather conditions. When geomagnetic activity is low (low Kp values), the oval stays compact and near the poles. When activity increases (high Kp), the oval expands and shifts toward lower latitudes, bringing aurora within view of more observers. Fairbanks is positioned right beneath this auroral zone, which explains why it's such a fantastic place for aurora watching.

Aurora colors depend on which atmospheric gases are being energized and how high up the collisions happen. Green - the color you'll see most often - is produced by oxygen atoms at lower elevations (100-300 km). Red aurora comes from oxygen at higher altitudes (300-400 km). Blue and purple hues come from nitrogen molecules. Pink and yellow are uncommon and happen when these gases mix. Colors and brightness can shift dramatically during active displays, sometimes changing in just seconds.

Northern lights typically form between 80 and 500 kilometers (50-310 miles) above the ground. The familiar green aurora you see most often happens around 100-300 km (60-185 miles) up. Red aurora forms higher, at approximately 300-400 km (185-250 miles). Blue and purple colors from nitrogen appear lower, around 80-100 km (50-60 miles). These heights are far above commercial airplanes (which cruise around 10-12 km) but below most satellites orbiting Earth.

Solar wind is a constant flow of electrically charged particles (protons and electrons) streaming outward from the sun's corona, or outer atmosphere. This particle stream moves through space at velocities between 300 and 800 kilometers per second. When these solar particles meet Earth's magnetic field, they can funnel down into the atmosphere near the poles, generating aurora displays. The solar wind's speed, particle density, and magnetic field direction (especially the Bz component) all influence aurora activity. The ideal conditions happen when Bz turns southward (negative) along with high particle density and fast speeds.

The Kp index measures geomagnetic disturbance on a scale from 0 to 9, showing how much Earth's magnetic field is being affected by solar wind. Here's what the numbers mean: Kp 0-2 indicates quiet conditions, Kp 3-4 means unsettled to active, Kp 5 signals a minor geomagnetic storm, Kp 6 indicates moderate storm activity, Kp 7 represents strong storms, and Kp 8-9 means severe to extreme storms. Higher Kp values mean aurora becomes visible at lower latitudes and appears more intense. Fairbanks can show aurora even at Kp 0-1 when skies are clear, while Anchorage usually needs Kp 5 or higher for consistent sightings.

Forecasting the Aurora

Our dashboard shows live space weather information you can use right now. Keep an eye on the current Kp index reading, solar wind measurements (Bz direction, particle density, and speed), and overall geomagnetic activity levels. When Bz turns southward (negative) along with high particle density and elevated Kp values, you've got promising aurora conditions. Don't forget: clear weather is crucial - the best space weather in the world won't help if clouds are covering the sky. Check our cloud coverage information for your viewing location to help plan when to head outside.

View Current Conditions Dashboard →

Our 30-minute forecast maps use NOAA's OVATION model to show current and upcoming aurora activity. These maps refresh every half hour and show both the likelihood and energy levels of aurora for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The color coding tells you the intensity: darker green means weak activity, bright green and yellow indicate moderate activity, while orange and red signal strong activity. This is your most up-to-the-minute forecast and helps you determine whether it's worth stepping outside right now.

View 30-Minute Forecast Maps →

The 3-day forecast displays predicted Kp index values broken into 3-hour time blocks. This is NOAA's most dependable forecast, refreshed every day at 22:05 UTC. Use it to schedule your aurora watching for the coming days. For Fairbanks, watch for times when Kp reaches 3 or higher. For South Central Alaska (including Anchorage), you'll want Kp 5 or above. This forecast helps you pick the optimal nights for late-night viewing or plan a dedicated aurora hunting trip.

View 3-Day Kp Forecast Chart →

The 27-day forecast gives you an extended outlook based on the sun's rotation pattern. Since the sun rotates about every 27 days, solar features that created aurora activity can come back around. While this forecast isn't as precise as the 3-day version, it can help you spot potential active periods several weeks ahead. NOAA updates it weekly every Monday at 15:00 UTC. It's useful for long-range planning, but make sure to check the 3-day forecast as your viewing date gets closer.

View 27-Day Forecast Chart →

Interactive Alaska Map

Explore Alaska's best aurora viewing locations on this interactive map. Click on markers to see current Kp index, HPI (Aurora Power Index), and viewing status for each location.

Low Activity (Kp < 3)
Moderate Activity (Kp 3-5)
High Activity (Kp ≥ 5)

Guides & Tips

Use the accordion sections below to explore detailed guides on reading forecasts, photography, viewing tips, satellite data, and when to trust forecasts.

When to Trust Forecasts vs. When to Go Outside Anyway

⚠️ The Best Way to Miss the Aurora?

Relying solely on apps! Even if apps say "low activity" or Kp is 0-1, if you're in Fairbanks and skies are clear, go outside and look north.

✓ Go Outside When:
  • You're in Fairbanks/North Alaska and skies are clear (even at Kp 0-1!)
  • Kp is 2+ and cloud cover is low
  • Bz is negative (southward) and density is high
  • You have clear skies regardless of what apps say
  • It's dark (after sunset, before sunrise)
✗ Don't Go When:
  • Cloud cover is 100% (you won't see anything regardless of Kp)
  • It's daytime or twilight (aurora needs darkness)
  • You're in South Central Alaska and Kp is < 5 (unless you're very patient)
  • Weather conditions are dangerous (safety first!)

Remember: Apps are tools, not guarantees. The aurora can appear when apps say it won't, and it can fail to appear when apps say it will. The best predictor is clear skies + your location + real-time satellite data.

Alaska Regional Forecast Reliability

Interior Alaska (Fairbanks, North Pole, Delta Junction)

Most Reliable Region: Located under the auroral oval, Interior Alaska sees aurora activity even at very low Kp values.

  • Kp 0-1: Aurora visible 60-70% of clear nights (unique to this region!)
  • Kp 2-3: Good viewing conditions, visible most clear nights
  • Kp 4+: Excellent displays, often overhead with vibrant colors
  • Best Months: September through March (longest dark hours)
  • Forecast Accuracy: 3-day forecasts are reliable, but local weather is the limiting factor
North Slope (Utqiagvik/Barrow, Prudhoe Bay, Deadhorse)

Polar Cap Region: Even more reliable than Interior, but with extreme weather challenges.

  • Kp 0-1: Aurora visible 80%+ of clear nights (best in Alaska!)
  • Kp 2+: Almost guaranteed on clear nights
  • Challenge: Extreme cold (-40°F to -60°F common), limited access, harsh conditions
  • Best Months: October through February (24-hour darkness in December)
  • Forecast Accuracy: Very reliable, but weather is the primary concern
South Central (Anchorage, Wasilla, Palmer, Girdwood)

Moderate Reliability: Requires higher Kp values, but more accessible and milder weather.

  • Kp 0-3: Rarely visible, usually only on northern horizon if at all
  • Kp 4: Possible on northern horizon, faint displays
  • Kp 5+: Good viewing conditions, visible overhead
  • Kp 6+: Excellent displays, often visible even with light pollution
  • Best Locations: Hatcher Pass, Turnagain Arm, Eagle River, away from city lights
  • Forecast Accuracy: 3-day forecasts are essential - don't go out unless Kp 5+ is predicted
Southeast Alaska (Juneau, Ketchikan, Sitka)

Least Reliable Region: Cloudy weather and southern latitude make viewing challenging.

  • Kp 5-6: May be visible on northern horizon during clear weather
  • Kp 7+: Good chance of visible aurora if skies are clear
  • Challenge: Frequent cloud cover, high precipitation, limited clear nights
  • Best Strategy: Monitor forecasts closely and be ready to go when Kp 7+ coincides with clear skies
  • Forecast Accuracy: High Kp forecasts are reliable, but weather is the main obstacle
Alaska-Specific Forecast Tips
  • Interior & North Slope: Trust clear skies more than Kp forecasts - if it's clear and dark, go outside!
  • South Central: Only trust forecasts for Kp 5+ - lower values rarely produce visible aurora
  • Southeast: Wait for Kp 7+ forecasts and clear weather windows - patience is key
  • All Regions: Check local weather forecasts (cloud cover) more frequently than Kp forecasts
  • Winter Months: Longer nights = more viewing opportunities, but also colder temperatures
  • Spring/Fall: Shorter nights but milder weather - balance viewing time with comfort

How to Read Aurora Forecast Maps

Understanding NOAA's aurora prediction displays

Understanding the Circular View

NOAA's aurora forecast maps show a top-down view of Earth from the North Pole. The circular display represents the Northern Hemisphere, with Alaska positioned in the upper portion of the circle. This bird's-eye perspective helps you understand where aurora activity will be strongest across different regions.

Time Slices - The "Pie" Sections

The forecast map is divided into wedge-shaped sections (like pie slices), each representing a 4-hour time window. These time slices help predict when aurora activity will be strongest in different regions:

  • Each slice = 4 hours of forecast data
  • Brighter green areas = higher aurora probability
  • The forecast updates every 30 minutes
Color Scale Explained
Bright Green
90%+ probability
Medium Green
50-90% probability
Yellow-Green
20-50% probability
Dark/Blue
Low probability
Key Numbers Explained
Forecast Lead Time

How far ahead the prediction extends (typically 30-90 minutes)

HPI (Hemispheric Power Index)

Total aurora energy in gigawatts (GW). Higher = more intense aurora.

Range

Shows the variability in the prediction

The OVATION Aurora Model

Understanding the science behind NOAA's aurora forecast maps

The OVATION (Oval Variation, Assessment, Tracking, Intensity, and Online Nowcasting) model is an empirical model of the intensity of the aurora developed at the Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics Laboratory by Patrick Newell and co-workers1.

How It Works

The model uses the solar wind velocity and interplanetary magnetic field measured at the L1 orbit position at 1.6 million km (1 million miles) upstream from Earth as input and calculates three types of electron precipitation and the proton precipitation which strongly correlate with the aurora.

An estimate of aurora viewing probability can be derived by assuming a linear relationship to the intensity of the aurora. This relationship was validated by comparison with data from the Ultraviolet imager (UVI) instrument on the NASA Polar satellite2.

Data Availability & Forecast Lead Time

On occasion, the input solar wind data are either contaminated or unavailable. In those instances, an alternative estimate of the solar wind forcing, based on the current Kp geomagnetic index is used to drive the OVATION model.

When this occurs, there is no forecast lead time.

Scientific References

1. Newell, P. T., T. Sotirelis, and S. Wing (2009), Diffuse, monoenergetic, and broadband aurora: The global precipitation budget, J. Geophys. Res., 114, A09207, doi:10.1029/2009JA014326

2. Machol, J. L., Green., J. C., Redmon, R. J., Viereck, R. A., Newell, P. T., (2012), Evaluation of OVATION Prime as a forecast model for visible aurorae, Space Weather, 10, 3, doi.org/10.1029/2011SW000746

For more information on the OVATION model and aurora products, visit NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.

About Aurora Forecasting

Kp Index

Measures geomagnetic activity on a scale of 0-9. Higher values indicate stronger aurora activity. Kp 5+ means good viewing opportunities in Alaska.

Bt (Total Field)

The total strength of the interplanetary magnetic field in nanoteslas. Stronger fields can trigger more intense aurora.

Bz (North/South)

Negative Bz values enhance aurora activity by allowing solar wind to interact with Earth's magnetic field. Bz of -10 nT or lower is ideal!

Reading Forecasts for Alaska: Real-World Examples

Example 1: Fairbanks, Interior Alaska

Forecast Shows: Kp 2, HPI 15 GW, Bz -3 nT, Clear skies predicted

What This Means: Even though Kp is low, you're in Interior Alaska with clear skies. The negative Bz and moderate HPI suggest some activity.

Action: Go outside and look north! In Fairbanks, Kp 2 with clear skies often produces visible aurora, especially with negative Bz. You might see faint green bands on the northern horizon or even overhead displays.

Example 2: Anchorage, South Central Alaska

Forecast Shows: Kp 4, HPI 25 GW, Bz -2 nT, Partly cloudy

What This Means: Kp 4 is borderline for South Central. The HPI is moderate, and Bz is slightly negative but not strongly so.

Action: Maybe, but not ideal. If you're patient and have a clear view to the north, you might see faint aurora on the horizon. However, Kp 5+ would be more reliable. Consider waiting for a better forecast or driving to a darker location away from city lights.

Example 3: Anchorage, South Central Alaska (Better Conditions)

Forecast Shows: Kp 6, HPI 60 GW, Bz -8 nT, Clear skies, High density (8 particles/cm³)

What This Means: Excellent conditions! High Kp, strong negative Bz, high HPI, and high particle density all indicate strong aurora activity.

Action: Definitely go out! This is a great forecast for South Central. You should see aurora overhead with vibrant colors. Head to Hatcher Pass, Turnagain Arm, or another dark location away from Anchorage's light pollution. Expect to see green, possibly red, and potentially even purple aurora dancing overhead.

Example 4: Utqiagvik (Barrow), North Slope

Forecast Shows: Kp 1, HPI 10 GW, Bz +2 nT, Clear skies, -35°F

What This Means: Very low Kp and positive Bz (not favorable), but you're in the polar cap region where aurora is almost always present.

Action: Go out if you can handle the cold! Even with low Kp and positive Bz, North Slope locations see aurora on most clear nights. You'll likely see faint green bands. The main challenge is the extreme cold - dress appropriately and don't stay out too long.

Alaska Forecast Reading Checklist

✓ Check These First:

  • Your location (Interior, North Slope, South Central, or Southeast)
  • Local weather forecast (cloud cover %)
  • Time of night (after sunset, before sunrise)
  • Moon phase (new moon = best)

✓ Then Check Space Weather:

  • Kp Index (location-dependent threshold)
  • Bz value (negative is better)
  • HPI (higher = more intense)
  • Particle density (higher = better)

Remember: In Interior and North Slope Alaska, clear skies often trump low Kp values. In South Central and Southeast, you need both high Kp AND clear skies for reliable viewing.

How to Photograph the Northern Lights

Essential camera settings and equipment for aurora photography

For Bright Aurora (Kp 5+)
  • ISO:800-1600
  • Aperture:f/2.8-f/4
  • Shutter:5-15 seconds
  • Focus:Manual (∞)
For Faint Aurora (Kp 0-4)
  • ISO:3200-6400
  • Aperture:f/1.4-f/2.8
  • Shutter:15-25 seconds
  • Focus:Manual (∞)
Essential Equipment
Sturdy Tripod
Prevents camera shake during long exposures
Wide-Angle Lens (14-24mm)
Captures more of the sky and aurora displays
Fast Lens (f/2.8 or faster)
Allows more light for shorter exposures
Remote Shutter Release
Eliminates camera shake from pressing the button
Extra Batteries
Cold temperatures drain batteries 2-3x faster
Headlamp with Red Light
Preserves night vision and doesn't interfere with others' photos
Pro Tips

Shoot in RAW format for maximum editing flexibility

Include foreground elements (trees, mountains) for composition

Use manual focus and set to infinity (test before it gets dark)

Turn off image stabilization when using a tripod

Take test shots and adjust settings as aurora intensity changes

Keep camera and batteries warm in your jacket between shots

Best Alaska Photography Locations by Region

Interior Alaska (Fairbanks Area)
  • Murphy Dome: Highest point near Fairbanks, 360° views, accessible year-round. Best for wide-angle shots with mountain ranges in background.
  • Cleary Summit: Popular spot 20 miles from Fairbanks, good parking, minimal light pollution. Great for beginners.
  • Chena Hot Springs: Unique foreground with hot springs, ice sculptures in winter. Requires admission fee but offers unique compositions.
  • Ester Dome: Less crowded, good for avoiding other photographers' lights. Steeper road, 4WD recommended in winter.
  • Pioneer Park: Urban location with interesting foreground elements (train, historic buildings). Some light pollution but convenient.
South Central Alaska (Anchorage Area)
  • Hatcher Pass: Mountain pass with stunning alpine scenery. Requires Kp 5+ but offers incredible mountain foregrounds. Road may be closed in winter.
  • Turnagain Arm: Water reflections, mountain backdrop. Accessible year-round, but watch for tides. Best during high Kp events.
  • Eagle River Nature Center: Forest and river compositions, less light pollution than Anchorage. Good for intimate shots.
  • Glen Alps/Flattop: High elevation with city lights below. Requires hiking, but offers unique perspective of aurora over Anchorage.
  • Knik River: Wide open spaces, minimal light pollution. Good for wide-angle shots with mountains in distance.
North Slope (Utqiagvik/Barrow Area)
  • Point Barrow: Northernmost point in U.S., arctic ocean foreground. Extreme cold but best aurora reliability. Requires proper cold weather gear.
  • Prudhoe Bay/Deadhorse: Industrial foregrounds (oil facilities) create unique compositions. Access requires planning and permits.
  • Tundra Areas: Wide open spaces, minimal obstructions. Best for capturing full auroral displays. Watch for polar bears!

Seasonal Photography Considerations in Alaska

September - October (Fall)
  • ✓ Milder temperatures (-10°F to 20°F)
  • ✓ Longer nights (8-12 hours of darkness)
  • ✓ Fall colors in foregrounds
  • ✓ Lakes/rivers not yet frozen
  • ⚠️ More cloud cover than winter
  • ⚠️ Mosquitoes may still be active
November - January (Deep Winter)
  • ✓ Longest nights (14-18 hours darkness)
  • ✓ Clearest skies (coldest = driest air)
  • ✓ Snow provides natural reflector
  • ✓ Frozen lakes for unique compositions
  • ⚠️ Extreme cold (-20°F to -40°F common)
  • ⚠️ Battery life severely reduced
  • ⚠️ Equipment can freeze/fog
February - March (Late Winter)
  • ✓ Still long nights (10-14 hours)
  • ✓ Warmer than mid-winter
  • ✓ Good snow conditions
  • ✓ Less extreme cold
  • ⚠️ More variable weather
  • ⚠️ Spring breakup begins in March
April - August (Spring/Summer)
  • ⚠️ Very short or no dark hours
  • ⚠️ Aurora season essentially over
  • ✓ Warmer weather for other photography
  • ⚠️ Not recommended for aurora photography
Alaska-Specific Photography Gear Tips
  • Battery Management: Keep 3-4 extra batteries. Cold drains them 2-3x faster. Store in inner pockets, rotate them.
  • Lens Condensation: Keep camera in bag when moving from warm to cold. Use lens hoods to prevent fogging.
  • Tripod Stability: Use tripod with spiked feet or attach to stable surface. Wind can be strong on exposed locations.
  • Remote Shutter: Essential to avoid camera shake. Consider intervalometer for time-lapse sequences.
  • Hand Warmers: Attach to camera body (not lens) to prevent freezing. Wrap camera in insulating material between shots.
  • Memory Cards: Bring multiple high-capacity cards. RAW files are large, and you'll take many test shots.
  • Lens Cleaning: Bring microfiber cloths and lens cleaning solution. Snow, frost, and condensation are constant issues.

Alaska Aurora Viewing Tips

Essential etiquette, safety, and practical advice for Northern Lights viewing in Alaska

Viewing Etiquette
  • Use red lights only - white lights destroy night vision for everyone
  • Turn off vehicle headlights when parked at viewing locations
  • Keep voices low - respect others' peaceful viewing experience
  • Don't shine lights on other photographers' cameras
  • Stay on designated paths and respect private property
  • Pack out all trash - leave no trace
Best Locations
  • Fairbanks & Interior: Murphy Dome, Cleary Summit, Chena Hot Springs - accessible and reliable
  • North Slope: Utqiagvik (Barrow), Prudhoe Bay - best for low Kp viewing
  • South Central: Need Kp 5+ - Talkeetna, Hatcher Pass, Turnagain Arm
  • Get away from city lights - even 10-15 miles makes a huge difference
  • Elevated locations provide better horizon views
  • Check cloud forecasts before heading out
Cold Weather Safety
  • Dress in layers - base layer, insulation, windproof outer shell
  • Wear insulated boots rated for -20°F or colder
  • Bring hand warmers and foot warmers
  • Keep extra clothing in your vehicle
  • Stay hydrated - cold air is very dry
  • Watch for signs of frostbite (numbness, white/pale skin)
  • Never go alone - always have a buddy
  • Tell someone where you're going and when you'll return
Timing & When to Watch
  • Best months: September through March (longest nights)
  • Prime hours: 10 PM - 2 AM Alaska Time
  • Aurora can appear anytime it's dark - don't limit yourself to "peak" hours
  • Check moon phase - new moon = darkest skies = best viewing
  • Full moon can wash out faint aurora but provides beautiful foreground lighting
  • Solar maximum years (2024-2026) = more frequent and intense displays
Alaska-Specific Pro Tips
  • In Fairbanks, aurora can be visible even at Kp 0-1 with clear skies!
  • South Central Alaska (Anchorage area) typically needs Kp 5+ for reliable viewing
  • Check road conditions - many viewing spots require 4WD in winter
  • Carry emergency supplies: blankets, food, water, first aid kit
  • Be aware of moose and other wildlife - especially at dawn/dusk
  • Many locations have no cell service - plan accordingly
  • Join local aurora Facebook groups for real-time sightings and conditions
Alaska Road & Access Information

Interior Alaska (Fairbanks Area)

  • Murphy Dome: Steep gravel road, 4WD recommended in winter, plowed regularly
  • Cleary Summit: Paved road, accessible year-round, good parking
  • Chena Hot Springs Road: Paved, well-maintained, 60 miles from Fairbanks
  • Ester Dome: Steep, may require 4WD in icy conditions

South Central Alaska (Anchorage Area)

  • Hatcher Pass: May be closed in winter, check road conditions. 4WD required when open.
  • Turnagain Arm: Highway accessible, pullouts available, watch for wildlife
  • Eagle River Nature Center: Paved access, parking available, trails may be icy
  • Glen Alps: Paved road, may be closed in severe weather, requires hiking

North Slope (Utqiagvik/Prudhoe Bay)

  • Access: Commercial flights only, no road access
  • Permits: Some areas require permits or guided tours
  • Safety: Polar bear country - never go alone, carry bear protection
  • Extreme Conditions: -40°F to -60°F common, specialized gear required
Alaska Cultural & Community Resources

Local Aurora Groups: Join Facebook groups like "Fairbanks Aurora Chasers," "Anchorage Aurora Watchers," or regional groups for real-time sightings, road conditions, and local knowledge.

Respect Native Lands: Many viewing locations are on or near Native lands. Respect private property, follow posted rules, and consider supporting local Native-owned tour operators.

Tour Operators: Consider guided tours for first-time visitors - they know the best spots, handle logistics, and provide safety support. Many offer photography-focused tours.

Local Knowledge: Talk to locals! Alaskans are friendly and often share tips about current conditions, best spots, and safety considerations.

Aurora Forecasts: Check multiple sources - this site, NOAA, SpaceWeatherLive, and local weather services. Compare forecasts and trust local weather more than distant Kp predictions.

How to Read Satellite Data (Tutorial)

Understanding real-time space weather data from satellites

Bz (North-South Component)

Most Important for Aurora! This is the north-south orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field.

  • Negative Bz (Southward) = Good! Allows solar wind energy to enter Earth's magnetosphere
  • Positive Bz (Northward) = Less favorable. Energy is deflected away
  • Bz < -5 nT = Very favorable conditions
  • For best aurora, you want sustained negative Bz combined with high Kp
Bt (Total Magnetic Field Strength)

The total strength of the interplanetary magnetic field.

  • Higher Bt (10+ nT) = More energy available for aurora
  • Combined with negative Bz = Strong aurora potential
  • Typical range: 3-10 nT, but can spike much higher during storms
Density (Particles per cm³)

Number of solar wind particles hitting Earth.

  • High density (5+ particles/cm³) = More material for aurora
  • Combined with negative Bz = Enhanced aurora activity
  • Typical: 1-5 particles/cm³, but can reach 20+ during events
Speed (km/s)

How fast the solar wind is traveling.

  • Higher speed (500+ km/s) = More energy
  • Fast solar wind from coronal holes can enhance aurora
  • Typical: 300-400 km/s, but can exceed 800 km/s during storms
Best Conditions for Aurora:

Bz < -5 nT + High Density (5+ particles/cm³) + High Speed (500+ km/s) + Kp ≥ 5 = Excellent Aurora Conditions!

Learn more and see real-time data at SpaceWeatherLive.com

Interpreting Satellite Data for Alaska Locations

Interior & North Slope Alaska

Location Advantage: Under the auroral oval, these regions can see aurora even with less-than-ideal satellite data.

  • Bz -3 to -5 nT: Good conditions, expect visible aurora on clear nights
  • Bz < -5 nT: Excellent conditions, expect vibrant displays overhead
  • Even with positive Bz: Aurora may still be visible due to location advantage
  • Density 3+ particles/cm³: Sufficient for good displays in these regions
  • Speed 400+ km/s: Adequate, higher speeds enhance but not required
South Central Alaska

Stricter Requirements: Need stronger conditions due to southern latitude.

  • Bz < -5 nT: Essential for reliable viewing
  • Bz < -8 nT: Ideal for strong overhead displays
  • Density 5+ particles/cm³: Recommended for good visibility
  • Speed 500+ km/s: Helps ensure aurora reaches this latitude
  • Bt 10+ nT: Indicates strong magnetic field, better for South Central
  • All conditions together: Best chance for spectacular displays
Southeast Alaska

Most Challenging: Requires strongest conditions and clear weather.

  • Bz < -8 nT: Strongly negative required
  • Density 8+ particles/cm³: High density essential
  • Speed 600+ km/s: Fast solar wind helps
  • Bt 15+ nT: Strong magnetic field needed
  • Kp 7+: High geomagnetic activity required
  • Clear skies: Most important factor - frequent cloud cover is the main obstacle
Real-Time Monitoring Strategy for Alaska

1. Check Satellite Data First: Look at Bz, density, and speed on this dashboard. If Bz is strongly negative (-5 nT or lower) and density is high, conditions are favorable.

2. Check Kp Index: Verify Kp matches your location's threshold (Interior: 0-1+, South Central: 5+, Southeast: 7+).

3. Check Local Weather: Cloud cover is often the limiting factor. Clear skies are essential regardless of space weather conditions.

4. Monitor Trends: Watch if Bz is trending more negative or if density is increasing. Improving conditions may mean aurora is strengthening.

5. Set Alerts: Use this site's alert system to notify you when conditions reach your threshold.

Pro Tip: In Interior Alaska, if Bz is negative (even slightly) and skies are clear, go outside regardless of other numbers. Your location advantage often overrides less-than-perfect satellite data.

Aurora Tour Operators

Alaska Wildlife Guide

Aurora viewing combined with wildlife experiences

Location: Anchorage/Fairbanks
Tours: Combined
Best for: Wildlife + Aurora

Alaska Photo Treks

Guided photography tours for glaciers, wildlife, and landscapes

Location: Anchorage
Tours: Photography
Best for: All skill levels

PicTours Alaska

Short excursions highlighting scenic spots and wildlife

Location: Anchorage
Tours: 2-3.5 hours
Best for: Scenic views

Alaska Blueberry Tours

Private tours showcasing breathtaking Alaskan scenery

Location: Anchorage
Tours: Private
Best for: Custom pace

Planet Earth Adventures

Winter photo tours focusing on frozen landscapes and aurora

Location: Anchorage
Tours: Winter
Best for: Aurora photography

Denali Photo Guides

Photo excursions exploring Denali's landscapes

Location: Anchorage/Denali
Tours: Photography
Best for: Professional tips

Alaska Photo Adventures

Multi-day photo tours focusing on wildlife and landscape photography

Location: Soldotna/Kenai
Tours: Multi-day
Best for: Bear viewing

Geographic Marine Expeditions

Multi-day expeditions focusing on bear viewing and photography

Location: Kodiak
Tours: Multi-day
Best for: Bear photography

Rainbow Glacier Adventures

Small group tours focusing on wildlife and nature photography

Location: Haines/Skagway
Tours: Small group
Best for: Wildlife photography

Alaska Tours

Comprehensive Alaska tours including aurora viewing

Location: Statewide
Tours: Multi-day
Best for: Full packages

Aurora Lodging

Chena Hot Springs Resort

Iconic hot springs resort with aurora viewing tours

Location: 60 mi NE Fairbanks
Features: Hot Springs
Best for: Iconic experience

Borealis Basecamp

Luxury igloos with glass ceilings for aurora viewing

Location: 25 mi N Fairbanks
Features: Glass Igloos
Best for: Luxury viewing

Aurora Borealis Lodge

Mountain lodge with excellent aurora viewing

Location: Fairbanks area
Features: Mountain View
Best for: Mountain views

Coldfoot Camp

Remote Arctic Circle location for aurora viewing

Location: Arctic Circle
Features: Remote
Best for: Arctic Circle

Resources

UAF

University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute

Updates: Daily
Type: Forecast
Best for: Alaska-specific

NOAA SWPC

Official NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Updates: Real-time
Type: Official
Best for: Official data

NOAA Aurora Dashboard

NOAA experimental aurora forecast dashboard

Updates: 30 min
Type: Forecast
Best for: Official forecasts

SpaceWeatherLive

Real-time space weather monitoring and forecasts

Updates: Real-time
Type: Data Updated
Best for: Global monitoring

AuroraNotify

Aurora alerts and notifications service

Updates: Real-time
Type: Alerts
Best for: Push notifications

NLAK Facebook Page

Northern Lights Alaska community

Updates: Community
Type: Social
Best for: Community updates

Data Sources

All real-time space weather data is sourced from the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC)

Data updates every 60 seconds. This site uses the NOAA SWPC JSON API endpoint (services.swpc.noaa.gov/json/) and Products API (services.swpc.noaa.gov/products/) to fetch real-time space weather data.

Reference: NOAA SWPC Data Access

Base URL: https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/json/

Planetary K-Index (1-minute data)

planetary_k_index_1m.json

Real-time 1-minute resolution Kp index data for current conditions monitoring

Used for: Real-time space weather conditions, current Kp display

View JSON →

Real-Time Solar Wind - Magnetic Field

rtsw/rtsw_mag_1m.json

Interplanetary magnetic field (Bt, Bz) measurements

Used for: Interplanetary Magnetic Field Charts (Bt, Bz), Solar Wind Conditions

View JSON →

Real-Time Solar Wind - Wind

rtsw/rtsw_wind_1m.json

Solar wind density and speed measurements

Used for: Solar Wind Density Chart, Solar Wind Speed

View JSON →

F10.7 cm Radio Flux

f107_cm_flux.json

10.7 cm solar radio flux measurements

Used for: Solar Flux display, Solar Cycle Status

View JSON →

OVATION Aurora Model

ovation_aurora_latest.json

Aurora probability and energy deposition forecasts

Used for: OVATION Alaska Aurora Data, Aurora Probability Maps

View JSON →

Geospace DST Index (1-hour)

geospace/geospace_dst_1_hour.json

Disturbance Storm Time (DST) index for geomagnetic activity

Used for: DST Index Chart, Historical Data

View JSON →

Solar Flare Probabilities

solar_probabilities.json

Probability forecasts for X-ray flares (M-class and X-class)

Used for: Solar Flare Probabilities section

View JSON →

Predicted F10.7 cm Flux

predicted_f107cm_flux.json

Forecasted 10.7 cm radio flux values

Used for: Solar Flux Forecast Chart

View JSON →

Base URL: https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/products/

Space Weather Alerts

alerts.json

Active space weather watches, warnings, and alerts

Used for: Space Weather Alerts display, Active Alerts modal

View JSON →

NOAA Space Weather Scales

noaa-scales.json

Current G-scale (geomagnetic), R-scale (radio blackout), and S-scale (solar radiation) values

Used for: NOAA Scales display (Radio Blackouts, Solar Radiation, Geomagnetic Storms)

View JSON →

Planetary K-Index Forecast

noaa-planetary-k-index-forecast.json

3-day Kp index forecast values

Used for: 3-Day Forecast section, Kp Forecast display

View JSON →

Planetary K-Index (3-hour data)

noaa-planetary-k-index.json

Historical 3-hour Kp index values for charting and historical analysis

Used for: Kp Index Historical Bar Chart, Kp Index Breakdown Table

View JSON →

10.7 cm Flux (30-day)

10cm-flux-30-day.json

30-day historical 10.7 cm radio flux data

Used for: 30-Day Flux historical data, Solar Cycle analysis

View JSON →

Base URL: https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/

Aurora Forecast Maps

30-minute aurora probability forecasts for Northern and Southern Hemispheres

DRAP Geomagnetic Map

drap_f05_n-pole.png

Dynamic Radiation Atmosphere Propagation model visualization

Kp Index Range Maps

Aurora visibility maps at different Kp index levels (Kp=3, 5, 7, 9)

Source: NOAA SWPC Image Archive

Experimental Aurora Forecasts

Tonight's and tomorrow night's aurora viewline forecasts

About Northern Lights Alaska

Northern Lights Alaska (NLAK) - Your comprehensive real-time aurora activity monitor for Alaska. Track live aurora forecasts, geomagnetic activity (Kp index), solar wind conditions, and space weather data from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. Get accurate aurora viewing predictions for Fairbanks, Anchorage, and all of Alaska with our advanced monitoring tools, 3-day forecasts, historical data comparisons, and expert viewing guides.

Monitor aurora borealis activity in real-time with live updates every 60 seconds. Our platform provides detailed information about aurora colors (red, orange, yellow, green), viewing conditions, HPI (Hemispheric Power Index) guidelines, moon phase impacts, and Alaska-specific viewing tips. Access NOAA's OVATION Aurora Model maps, DRAP geomagnetic forecasts, solar flare probabilities, and comprehensive space weather data to plan your perfect aurora viewing experience in Alaska.

Whether you're in South Central Alaska (Anchorage, Mat-Su, Kenai Peninsula) or Far North Alaska (Fairbanks, Interior, Arctic), our site provides location-specific aurora viewing recommendations based on real-time geomagnetic activity, solar wind conditions, and atmospheric data. Learn about aurora science, historical events, photography techniques, and essential gear for successful aurora hunting in Alaska's unique viewing conditions.

Northern Lights Alaska is a comprehensive real-time aurora activity monitoring platform designed specifically for Alaska residents and visitors. Launched in December 2025, the application provides live space weather data, aurora forecasts, and viewing recommendations to help you plan the perfect aurora viewing experience. The platform integrates data from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center to deliver accurate, up-to-date information about geomagnetic activity, solar wind conditions, and aurora probability across Alaska.

What's New in Version 1.0.1

UI Improvements

  • Improved stat card layouts with better visual hierarchy
  • JSON data links repositioned as tab-style labels
  • Enhanced accessibility with better contrast and spacing
  • Optimized navigation pills for quick access

Data & Features

  • Forecast legend expanded with active space weather alerts
  • Fixed Planetary K Index chart data source
  • Real-time monitoring with 60-second data updates
  • Comprehensive space weather information in one location

Navigation & Links

  • Optimized forecast and data links for better navigation
  • Quick access pills: v101, 30 min, 3 day, 27 day forecasts
  • Enhanced user interaction with smooth scrolling
  • Improved link organization and visual hierarchy

Platform Features

  • Real-time aurora monitoring across Alaska
  • 30-minute, 3-day, and 27-day forecast views
  • Interactive Alaska map with viewing locations
  • Location-specific viewing recommendations

Version 1.0.1 continues to provide the most current space weather information for planning your aurora viewing experience in Alaska. All data is sourced directly from NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center and updated every 60 seconds.

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Astronomy-safe dim (20% or less) Recommended for preserving night vision (20-50%) Normal Field Mode (50-100%)

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